Winnemucca, Nevada 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

688
FXUS65 KLKN 022041
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
1241 PM PST Mon Feb 2 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1223 PM PST Mon Feb 2 2026

* High pressure this week over the Great Basin will threaten
  several high temperatures records across the area Tuesday
  through Thursday

* Potential for precipitation and gusty winds returns to NV
  beginning early next week

&&


.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Sunday)

WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: High pressure builds back into the
region on Tuesday after an unimpactful dry trough passes through
the Great Basin Monday evening. Under the ridge and HPC the trend
of unseasonably warm temperatures continues. This will threaten
several high temperature records at our area climate sites through
Thursday.

Friday the ridge begins to egress to the east allowing for a
change in the dry, warm weather pattern that has plagued the
reason for the better part of a month. A longwave trough will
begin to fill the vacated space by Saturday night. A series of
shortwaves in the axis of the parent trough will make their way
into the Great Basin by Sunday evening. As the longwave axis
pushes into the western CONUS the pressure gradient will begin to
tighten increasing westerly wind speeds Monday and Tuesday.

Moisture availability also returns to the region as the first
shortwave on Monday will bring with it a slug of moisture. This
will increase precipitation chances mainly across northern NV
though model confidence with the system is very low. Temperatures
do not drop considerably with this first wave so a valley
rain/mountain snow scenario appears most likely at this time.
Ensemble clusters Days 6-9 depict at least a temporary reprieve
from high pressure over the western half of the CONUS signaling a
potentially active weather pattern for mid February in the Great
Basin.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence is high in high
pressure keeping temperatures warm enough to threaten many climate
sites high temperatures Tuesday through Thursday. A change in the
pattern continues to take shape in the long term though confidence
is low for many variables including precip chances, precip type,
timing, and accumulations thus far. No major edits needed for the
grids at this time.

&&


.AVIATION...

VFR conditions expected at all sites through the next
24 hours, with winds less than 10KT.

&&


.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...94